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Focal points for this week – data points and technical themes

FXstreet.com (Barcelona) - Technicians and traders will be watching the data flow carefully, but will be watching the reactions to the data even more.

Data will be flowing and traders and technicians reacting

• Monday 8/12: Japanese GDP (already released – came in below expectations; Yen off on the news); Japanese Industrial Production; Bank og Japan Policy Meeting Minutes
• Tuesday 8/13: German CPI; British CPI; EuroZone Industrial Production; German Current Situation / Economic Sentiment; EuroZone Economic Sentiment; US Retail Sales; New Zealand Retail Sales
• Wednesday 8/14 – Aussie Consumer Confidence; German GDP; EuroZone CPI; EuroZone GDP; Bank of England Minutes; British Claimant Count Change; US Producer Price Index; New Zealand PMI; Foreign Investment in Japanese Securities
• Thursday 8/15 – Aussie Inflation Expectations; British Retail Sales; US CPI; US Weekly Jobless Claims; US TIC Flows; US Industrial Production / Capacity Utilization; US Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey
• Friday 8/16 – EuroZone CPI; US Building Permits & Housing Starts; US University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment
Click here for the full calendar complete with expectations and historical data.

Technical focal points coming into this week

• Will a bullish reversal in the US Dollar to start / continue?
• Will there be a corresponding bearish reversal in the euro?
• Will the bounce / rally in the Yen continue or pause? Even a pause would not necessarily take away the likelihood of an eventual rise in the Yen up to 1.07.
• How far will the bounce in the Aussie Dollar go?
• Will the British pound continue to work its way up to 1.5783 resistance?

Session Recap: USD extends recovery; Japan GDP upsets

The USD index has marginally pared part of previous losses trading last at 81.22 of DXY, mostly thanks to Yen and Euro weakness, following worse than expected Japan GDP for 2Q coming out at +2.6% y/y when +3.6% was the consensus.
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Flash: AUD/USD at 0.90 the new normal; RBA rate cuts cycle over - HSBC

The RBA cut its cash rate by 25bp to 2.50%, as HSBC Economists had expected. According to the Bank, "Markets are currently pricing in a further cut this year, and while this is possible, we are of the view that this cut is the last for this easing phase, as the lower AUD is doing a lot of the work."
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