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Key events ahead – Rabobank

FXStreet (Barcelona) - The Rabobank Team previews the key events and data releases ahead in the week for US, Eurozone, and UK.

Key Quotes

“It will be a fairly slow start to the week with only March budget statement scheduled, but the US calendar is saturated with crucial data this week.”

“On Tuesday, US retail sales probably improved to 1.0% MoM in March according to Bloomberg survey. In January and February retail sales fell 0.8% MoM and 0.6% MoM respectively mainly due to record cold and snow in some parts of the US.”

“We will also hear from Fed speakers including Kocherlakota (non-voter) on Tuesday, Bullard (non-voter) and Lacker (voter) on Wednesday.”

“On Tuesday the IMF will publish its outlook on the global economy with Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard holding a press conference. Last week Lagarde described global recovery as “moderate and uneven”.”

“In Eurozone, the ECB is set to keep the parameters of the monetary policy unchanged on Wednesday. As always, the main focus will be on the press conference and comments from President Draghi who could be questioned about the effectiveness of QE given the shortage of bonds.”

“In the UK, industrial production (10:30 CET) is expected to rebound by 0.3% month-on-month in February, after a 0.1% contraction in January, which to a large extent could be attributed to drop in the volatile computer, electronic and optical sector.”

Credit Agricole: Sell EUR rallies into the ECB monetary policy announcement - eFXnews

The eFXnews Team notes Credit Agricole views that the ECB will maintain its dovish policy stance, and stay committed to its QE pace, which implies that further downside for the EUR remains likely.
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Crude oil net bullish positions rise for second consecutive week

As per the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) data released by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), the speculators increased their overall bullish bets on WTI Crude futures last week - March 31st to April 7th.
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